Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.942764 1.098425 1.265787 1.458418 1.673303 1.904930 2.172759
2025-08-03 0.659936 0.870470 1.118347 1.428296 1.801853 2.233872 2.767361
2025-08-10 0.489871 0.725841 1.027665 1.433367 1.955047 2.593618 3.423701
2025-08-17 0.358200 0.595047 0.923011 1.394159 2.035826 2.860560 3.979679
2025-08-24 0.279675 0.516327 0.868275 1.403896 2.169458 3.193521 4.631692
2025-08-31 0.217963 0.446763 0.811349 1.396936 2.271467 3.483535 5.237493
2025-09-07 0.183053 0.411688 0.798470 1.448519 2.454915 3.890124 6.016835
2025-09-14 0.152448 0.376272 0.777779 1.482394 2.610563 4.262132 6.762585
2025-09-21 0.119417 0.327296 0.725042 1.456099 2.668537 4.491997 7.313637
2025-09-28 0.100566 0.302149 0.709742 1.488353 2.817335 4.859934 8.076046
2025-10-05 0.084665 0.279006 0.693889 1.516328 2.958738 5.220940 8.840312
2025-10-12 0.071161 0.257533 0.677391 1.540070 3.092633 5.574294 9.604426
2025-10-19 0.057917 0.233078 0.651856 1.546268 3.200661 5.898281 10.347479
2025-10-26 0.044195 0.202047 0.606550 1.509297 3.230915 6.100326 10.913361
2025-11-02 0.035470 0.182416 0.583094 1.512229 3.331111 6.419249 11.672792
2025-11-09 0.026444 0.157121 0.540672 1.470331 3.345013 6.594531 12.209874
2025-11-16 0.021300 0.143282 0.523889 1.480044 3.454155 6.932187 13.016188
2025-11-23 0.016598 0.128316 0.500781 1.472600 3.528917 7.213047 13.738447
2025-11-30 0.014389 0.123388 0.504605 1.526266 3.725382 7.711286 14.831914
2025-12-07 0.012063 0.116347 0.500822 1.561517 3.886844 8.153656 15.845310
2025-12-14 0.008953 0.102253 0.472307 1.534110 3.919504 8.368350 16.484014
2025-12-21 0.007440 0.096507 0.468942 1.567700 4.078632 8.814636 17.525012
2025-12-28 0.006113 0.090709 0.464093 1.596833 4.229674 9.251024 18.560476